Jobless claims: close but no cigar for the red flag
– by a New Deal Democrat Jobless Claims: A Close Call, But Red Flags Persist , Initial claims fell -9,000 to 228,000 last week, and the four-week average fell -9,250…
Initial claims are approaching a red flag recession warning
– by a New Deal Democrat Approaching a Red Flag: Initial Claims and the Recession Warning , Initial jobless claims fell -12,000 last week to 237,000. The four-week average fell…
Jobless claims: Yellow flag for attention continues
– by a New Deal Democrat In response to last week’s big jump in new jobless claims to 264,000, I wrote that this could be a departure from the start…
Jobless claims: no one (yet!) has been laid off
– by a New Deal Democrat Initial jobless claims fell -20,000 this week, back below 200,000 to 192,000. The 4-week average fell from -750 to 196,500. Continuing claims, delayed by…
Jobless claims, such as JOLTS, correspond to a softening within a strong labor market
– by a New Deal Democrat Initial jobless claims rose by 21,000 last week to 211,000, still a very small number, even if it was the highest since early January.…